Till such time that India cannot fight 10-year-war, India will remain a soft state. India – The Perfect Storm Ahead.

Stormy weather

India’s has three strategic problems. All three are known problems. This post looks at how the three could mesh and create a ‘perfect’ storm.

Oil’s not well

One is clearly oil. India imports 70%-80% of its oil consumption. Too much of our exports are used for oil imports. This makes India prone to economic pressures.

We would do well to remember Bombay High (1973). Only after Bombay High could India detonate the atom bomb (1974), throw out IBM and Coke (1977). Bombay High also saw India’s break away from our colonial ‘heritage’ of hunger, poverty, shortages, disease, social ossification.

After recent discoveries at Krishna-Godavari basin, by Cairn oil, GSPC production, will possibly account for 30% of Indian demand. The 70% imports-dependence mark won’t be…

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